Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.001025 0.001167 0.001310 0.001464 0.001624 0.001785 0.001960
2025-12-28 0.000784 0.000987 0.001198 0.001431 0.001680 0.001935 0.002215
2026-01-04 0.000619 0.000867 0.001133 0.001434 0.001761 0.002102 0.002481
2026-01-11 0.000473 0.000751 0.001061 0.001419 0.001816 0.002235 0.002707
2026-01-18 0.000356 0.000654 0.000998 0.001408 0.001869 0.002361 0.002920
2026-01-25 0.000232 0.000531 0.000897 0.001345 0.001857 0.002412 0.003048
2026-02-01 0.000150 0.000448 0.000834 0.001319 0.001884 0.002501 0.003213
2026-02-08 0.000096 0.000392 0.000799 0.001322 0.001938 0.002618 0.003406
2026-02-15 0.000058 0.000349 0.000775 0.001335 0.002003 0.002744 0.003607
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000317 0.000763 0.001360 0.002079 0.002881 0.003819
2026-03-01 0.000008 0.000269 0.000724 0.001350 0.002112 0.002967 0.003971
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000215 0.000671 0.001318 0.002116 0.003019 0.004085
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000180 0.000654 0.001346 0.002210 0.003194 0.004360
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000123 0.000594 0.001316 0.002235 0.003292 0.004551
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000087 0.000560 0.001320 0.002300 0.003435 0.004794
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000052 0.000517 0.001307 0.002343 0.003552 0.005006
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000025 0.000478 0.001297 0.002388 0.003670 0.005218
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000001 0.000407 0.001235 0.002366 0.003708 0.005337
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000364 0.001211 0.002388 0.003796 0.005512
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000341 0.001214 0.002443 0.003922 0.005730
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000325 0.001227 0.002511 0.004062 0.005962
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000317 0.001251 0.002593 0.004218 0.006212
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000289 0.001241 0.002628 0.004317 0.006395